What are the odds of pulling a Black Lotus?

What are the odds of pulling a Black Lotus?

The probability of pulling a Black Lotus in a single pack is approximately 1.05%, which translates to 1 – P[No Lotus], while the probability of pulling at least one Black Lotus in four packs is around 4.15%, calculated as 1 – P[No Lotus]^4. The rarity of the Black Lotus is a significant factor in its value and desirability, making it one of the most sought-after cards in the Magic: The Gathering universe.

Frequently Asked Questions

General Questions

  1. What is the Black Lotus?: The Black Lotus is a highly rare and valuable card in the Magic: The Gathering trading card game, known for its exceptional power and limited print run.
  2. How many PSA 10 Black Lotus cards exist?: Only six PSA 10 Black Lotus cards are known to exist, making them extremely rare and highly prized among collectors.
  3. How many Black Lotus cards were printed?: The Alpha version of the Black Lotus had an estimated print run of 1100, while the Beta version had a print run of 3300.

Value and Sales

  1. How much is a Black Lotus worth?: A Black Lotus has sold for a record-breaking price of $540,000 at a recent auction, with some ultra-rare versions selling for even higher prices.
  2. What is the most valuable Magic: The Gathering card?: The Black Lotus is widely considered the most valuable Magic: The Gathering card, due to its rarity and high demand.
  3. Who bought the One Ring card?: Post Malone purchased the unique One Ring card for over $2 million, making it one of the most expensive Magic: The Gathering cards ever sold.

Rarity and Print Run

  1. Why is the Black Lotus so rare?: The Black Lotus was only printed in the initial three sets of Magic: The Gathering cards and has not been reprinted since, making it highly scarce and valuable.
  2. How many Black Lotus cards have been graded by PSA?: Only a small fraction of the total Black Lotus print run has been graded by PSA, with only six achieving a perfect PSA 10 grade.

Tournament Legality

  1. Is the Black Lotus banned?: The Black Lotus is currently banned in Commander and Legacy formats, and restricted in Vintage format, due to its extreme power level.
  2. Is the Black Lotus tournament legal?: The Black Lotus is not tournament legal in most formats, due to its banned or restricted status.

Pop Culture and Ownership

  1. Who owns a Black Lotus?: Several notable individuals, including Post Malone, own a Black Lotus, with some cards being signed by the illustrator or featuring unique artwork.
  2. What did Post Malone pay for the One Ring card?: Post Malone paid $2 million for the unique One Ring card, making it one of the most expensive Magic: The Gathering cards ever sold.

Card Grading and Condition

  1. What is a PSA 10 card?: A PSA 10 card is a virtually perfect card, with four perfectly sharp corners, sharp focus, and full original gloss, and is highly prized among collectors.
  2. How much is a PSA 10 Black Lotus worth?: A PSA 10 Black Lotus can sell for hundreds of thousands of dollars, with one recent sale reaching $540,000.

Magic: The Gathering History

  1. When was the Black Lotus first printed?: The Black Lotus was first printed in 1993, as part of the original Limited Edition Alpha set, and has since become one of the most iconic and valuable cards in the Magic: The Gathering universe.

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